UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Azevedo vs Sobral

1,722

CageRank

WINNER
Sobral

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Sobral
WILL WIN

1,934

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renato Sobral
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 6.4 vs 6.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Marcelo Azevedo
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Sobral on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Azevedo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renato
Sobral
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sobral is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Sobral has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sobral has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Azevedo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sobral’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcelo
Azevedo
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Azevedo is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Azevedo has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Azevedo is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sobral 6.4
fighter Azevedo 6.2
Great knockouts by Sobral
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Southworth
Round 2 Jan 15, 2000 vs Kohler
Round 2 Sep 27, 1997 vs Vinicios

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sobral 8.3
fighter Azevedo 8.5
Great submissions by Azevedo
Round 0 May 26, 2012 vs Alexandre
Round 1 Sep 03, 2011 vs Padilha
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Castro

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sobral 8.3
fighter Azevedo 8.3
Fast finishes by Azevedo
143 seconds Sep 01, 2012 vs Alexandre
120 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Castro
440 seconds Sep 25, 2004 vs Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 31, 2003Heat FC 1 - Genesis
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,5001,831
1,4871,844
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sobral
legend Azevedo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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