UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Almeida vs Carneiro

1,881

CageRank

WINNER
Carneiro

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Carneiro
WILL WIN

1,930

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renato Carneiro
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Alexandre Almeida
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Carneiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Almeida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renato
Carneiro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carneiro is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carneiro has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carneiro has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Almeida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carneiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexandre
Almeida
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Almeida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Almeida has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Almeida is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carneiro 8.3
fighter Almeida 8.7
Great submissions by Almeida
Round 1 Feb 22, 2013 vs Soares Costa
Round 1 Jul 28, 2012 vs Passos
Round 1 Nov 18, 2011 vs Dias

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carneiro 7.7
fighter Almeida 8.6
Fast finishes by Almeida
161 seconds Feb 22, 2013 vs Soares Costa
245 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Passos
65 seconds Nov 18, 2011 vs Dias
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,6091,500
1,5441,565
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carneiro
legend Almeida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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