UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Vick vs Chiesa

1,732

CageRank

WINNER
Chiesa

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Chiesa
WILL WIN

1,954

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Chiesa
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for James Vick
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Chiesa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vick’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Chiesa
In 8:15, how much damage will he do? Chiesa Vick
Significant Strikes28
Chiesa's average striking offense is matched by Vick's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Chiesa's good takedown offense may be a factor against Vick's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:15
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chiesa is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Chiesa has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Chiesa is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Vick on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chiesa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
James
Vick
In 8:15, how much damage will he do? Vick Chiesa
Significant Strikes28
Vick's average striking offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Vick's average takedown offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vick is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Vick has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Vick is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Chiesa 8.9
fighter Vick 8.3
Great takedowns by Chiesa
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
1 takedown Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Chiesa 6.2
fighter Vick 7.0
Great knockouts by Vick
Round 1 May 13, 2017 vs Polo Reyes
Round 1 Mar 16, 2012 vs Cruickshank
Round 1 Aug 12, 2011 vs Salazar

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Chiesa 8.8
fighter Vick 8.0
Great submissions by Chiesa
Round 2 Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
Round 2 Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
Round 1 Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Chiesa 8.2
fighter Vick 8.1
Fast finishes by Chiesa
449 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
167 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta
133 seconds Jul 16, 2011 vs Coble
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Chiesa
legend Vick
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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