UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gracie vs Belfort

1,873

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
88% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 6.3 Around 60% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.0 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much younger 40 years vs 58 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Rickson Gracie
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 6.9 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gracie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 4:07, how much damage will he do? Belfort Gracie
Significant Strikes24
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 37 Significant Strikes in 4:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:07
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gracie on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rickson
Gracie
In 4:07, how much damage will he do? Gracie Belfort
Significant Strikes7
Gracie's average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 37 Significant Strikes in 4:07
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Gracie's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gracie is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gracie has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gracie is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Gracie 8.3
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Gracie 8.3
Great takedowns by Gracie
1 takedown Oct 11, 1997 vs Takada

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Gracie 6.3
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Gracie 9.5
Great submissions by Gracie
Round 1 May 26, 2000 vs Funaki
Round 1 Apr 20, 1995 vs Nakai
Round 1 Jul 29, 1994 vs Nishi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Gracie 8.0
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Gracie
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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