UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Agafonov vs Nurmagomedov

1,585

CageRank

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
97% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Alexander Agafonov
Heavier 166 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Agafonov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Agafonov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Agafonov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Agafonov is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Agafonov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Agafonov is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Agafonov 7.0
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Agafonov 7.3
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Agafonov 7.7
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XDEC
1,5701,794
1,5481,815
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Agafonov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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