UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sterling vs Mendes

1,985

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sterling

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Sterling
WILL WIN

1,568

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Aljamain Sterling
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly younger 27 years vs 34 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Augusto Mendes
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Sterling on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aljamain
Sterling
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sterling has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sterling has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sterling has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sterling’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Augusto
Mendes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mendes is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mendes is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sterling 7.3
fighter Mendes 7.2
Great knockouts by Sterling
Round 3 Jul 16, 2014 vs Viana
Round 1 Jul 23, 2011 vs Chmielski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sterling 8.1
fighter Mendes 7.8
Great submissions by Sterling
Round 1 Nov 02, 2013 vs Roberts
Round 2 Aug 24, 2012 vs Honorio
Round 3 Apr 14, 2012 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sterling 7.6
fighter Mendes 7.9
Fast finishes by Mendes
380 seconds Jul 17, 2015 vs Williams
49 seconds Nov 14, 2014 vs Delfin
499 seconds Aug 02, 2014 vs Castro
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 15, 2017UFC on Fox 24
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sterling
legend Mendes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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