UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sterling vs Viana

1,985

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sterling

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
73% chance Sterling
WILL WIN

1,814

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Aljamain Sterling
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.4 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Hugo Viana
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Sterling on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Viana’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aljamain
Sterling
In 12:07, how much damage will he do? Sterling Viana
Significant Strikes57
Sterling's average striking offense is matched by Viana's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:07
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sterling's average takedown offense is matched by Viana's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sterling has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sterling has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sterling is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Viana on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sterling’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hugo
Viana
In 12:07, how much damage will he do? Viana Sterling
Significant Strikes57
Viana's good striking offense may be a factor against Sterling's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:07
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Viana's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sterling's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:07
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Viana is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Viana is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Viana has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sterling 8.4
fighter Viana 8.6
Great striking by Viana
79 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Hernandez
22 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Duran
65 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Teixeira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sterling 8.6
fighter Viana 7.8
Great takedowns by Sterling
3 takedowns Feb 22, 2014 vs Gibson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sterling 7.3
fighter Viana 6.9
Great knockouts by Sterling
Round 3 Jul 16, 2014 vs Viana
Round 1 Jul 23, 2011 vs Chmielski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sterling 8.1
fighter Viana 6.4
Great submissions by Sterling
Round 1 Nov 02, 2013 vs Roberts
Round 2 Aug 24, 2012 vs Honorio
Round 3 Apr 14, 2012 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sterling 7.6
fighter Viana 6.8
Fast finishes by Sterling
109 seconds Nov 02, 2013 vs Roberts
545 seconds Aug 24, 2012 vs Honorio
731 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 16, 2014UFC Fight Night 45
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sterling
legend Viana
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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