UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sterling vs Chmielski

1,985

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sterling

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Sterling
WILL WIN

1,524

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Aljamain Sterling
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.1 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 28 years vs 34 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Evan Chmielski
From what we can tell, Aljamain Sterling dominates Evan Chmielski in every way.
Sterling on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chmielski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aljamain
Sterling
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sterling has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sterling has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Sterling is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Chmielski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sterling’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Chmielski
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chmielski is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Chmielski is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chmielski is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sterling 7.3
fighter Chmielski 6.7
Great knockouts by Sterling
Round 3 Jul 16, 2014 vs Viana
Round 1 Jul 23, 2011 vs Chmielski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sterling 8.1
fighter Chmielski 6.1
Great submissions by Sterling
Round 1 Nov 02, 2013 vs Roberts
Round 2 Aug 24, 2012 vs Honorio
Round 3 Apr 14, 2012 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sterling 7.6
fighter Chmielski 6.4
Fast finishes by Sterling
109 seconds Nov 02, 2013 vs Roberts
545 seconds Aug 24, 2012 vs Honorio
731 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 23, 2011CFFC 10
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,6921,612
1,7301,573
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sterling
legend Chmielski
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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