UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sterling vs Johnson

1,985

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sterling

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Sterling
WILL WIN

1,563

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Aljamain Sterling
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Casey Johnson
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Sterling on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aljamain
Sterling
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sterling is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Sterling has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sterling is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sterling’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Casey
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sterling 7.3
fighter Johnson 6.9
Great knockouts by Sterling
Round 3 Jul 16, 2014 vs Viana
Round 1 Jul 23, 2011 vs Chmielski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sterling 8.1
fighter Johnson 7.1
Great submissions by Sterling
Round 1 Nov 02, 2013 vs Roberts
Round 2 Aug 24, 2012 vs Honorio
Round 3 Apr 14, 2012 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sterling 7.6
fighter Johnson 7.4
Fast finishes by Sterling
109 seconds Nov 02, 2013 vs Roberts
545 seconds Aug 24, 2012 vs Honorio
731 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 14, 2012CFFC 14
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
DECX
1,7921,733
1,8341,691
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sterling
legend Johnson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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