UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pawlak vs Sobotta

1,793

CageRank

WINNER
Sobotta

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Sobotta
WILL WIN

1,869

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Peter Sobotta
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Pawel Pawlak
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Sobotta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pawlak’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Peter
Sobotta
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sobotta is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Sobotta has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sobotta is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pawlak on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sobotta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pawel
Pawlak
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pawlak has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pawlak is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pawlak is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sobotta 6.7
fighter Pawlak 8.4
Great knockouts by Pawlak
Round 3 Nov 09, 2013 vs Strzelczyk
Round 2 May 18, 2013 vs Piotrowski
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Ilyasov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sobotta 8.3
fighter Pawlak 7.2
Great submissions by Sobotta
Round 1 Nov 10, 2012 vs Dadaev
Round 1 Apr 27, 2012 vs Manuel Suarez
Round 1 Mar 24, 2012 vs Panin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sobotta 8.4
fighter Pawlak 8.0
Fast finishes by Sobotta
130 seconds Nov 10, 2012 vs Dadaev
138 seconds Apr 27, 2012 vs Manuel Suarez
672 seconds Sep 13, 2008 vs Abzailov
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 31, 2014UFC Fight Night 41
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sobotta
legend Pawlak
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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