UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brewer vs Kennedy

1,449

CageRank

WINNER
Kennedy

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Kennedy
WILL WIN

2,145

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Kennedy
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 6.8 More than 40% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 6.8 Around 35% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.2 More than 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Mack Brewer
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Kennedy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brewer’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Kennedy
In 3:09, how much damage will he do? Kennedy Brewer
Significant Strikes18
Kennedy's good striking offense may be a factor against Brewer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 28 Significant Strikes in 3:09
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kennedy's good takedown offense may be a factor against Brewer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:09
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kennedy has a chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Kennedy has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Kennedy has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Brewer on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kennedy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mack
Brewer
In 3:09, how much damage will he do? Brewer Kennedy
Significant Strikes6
Brewer's average striking offense won't be a factor against Kennedy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 28 Significant Strikes in 3:09
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Brewer's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Kennedy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brewer is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brewer is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brewer is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Kennedy 8.8
fighter Brewer 8.1
Great striking by Kennedy
13 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Natal
9 strikes Jun 16, 2010 vs Prangley
18 strikes Jun 19, 2009 vs Thompson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Kennedy 9.0
fighter Brewer 8.3
Great takedowns by Kennedy
5 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Lawler
1 takedown Jun 16, 2010 vs Prangley
3 takedowns Jun 19, 2009 vs Thompson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kennedy 7.7
fighter Brewer 7.3
Great knockouts by Kennedy
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Natal
Round 1 Sep 23, 2006 vs Urbina
Round 2 Feb 23, 2003 vs Chacon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kennedy 8.2
fighter Brewer 7.3
Great submissions by Kennedy
Round 1 Jun 16, 2010 vs Prangley
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Cummings
Round 2 Jun 19, 2009 vs Thompson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kennedy 8.5
fighter Brewer 7.3
Fast finishes by Kennedy
280 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Natal
215 seconds Jun 16, 2010 vs Prangley
457 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Thompson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 18, 2002WEC 5
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 KOX
1,5001,494
1,4491,545
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kennedy
legend Brewer
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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