UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marlon vs Nurmagomedov

1,874

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Marlon

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Marlon
WILL WIN

1,680

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Marlon
Much heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Said Nurmagomedov
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 26 years vs 32 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Marlon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Marlon
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marlon is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Marlon has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Marlon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marlon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Said
Nurmagomedov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Marlon 6.4
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.3
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 May 18, 2014 vs Barsegyan
Round 1 Aug 15, 2013 vs Sarapov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Marlon 8.3
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.0
Great submissions by Marlon
Round 1 Oct 20, 2012 vs Soares
Round 1 Dec 03, 2006 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Sep 24, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Marlon 8.4
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
Fast finishes by Marlon
87 seconds Sep 07, 2013 vs Cylderlan Lima da Silva
290 seconds Oct 20, 2012 vs Soares
156 seconds Oct 15, 2011 vs Lima da Silva
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 12, 2016WFCA 16
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Marlon
legend Nurmagomedov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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