UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lepont vs Aoki

1,679

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.7 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier 153 lbs vs 150 lbs Almost the same
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Arnaud Lepont
Heavier hands 6.4 vs 6.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lepont’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lepont on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Arnaud
Lepont
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lepont is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lepont has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lepont is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Lepont 6.4
Great knockouts by Lepont
Round 1 Sep 12, 2014 vs Chau
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Schob

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Lepont 8.1
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Lepont 8.1
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7842,185
1,7752,194
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Lepont
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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