UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jewell vs Aubin-Mercier

1,495

CageRank

WINNER
Aubin-Mercier

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Aubin-Mercier
WILL WIN

1,651

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 7.7 vs 7.0 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jordan Jewell
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 166 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Aubin-Mercier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jewell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Olivier
Aubin-Mercier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aubin-Mercier is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Aubin-Mercier has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Aubin-Mercier is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jewell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aubin-Mercier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Jewell
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jewell is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Jewell is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Jewell is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aubin-Mercier 6.8
fighter Jewell 7.6
Great knockouts by Jewell
Round 2 Oct 14, 2006 vs Motard
Round 1 Jun 10, 2006 vs Lacelle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aubin-Mercier 8.1
fighter Jewell 6.8
Great submissions by Aubin-Mercier
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Meisel
Round 1 Nov 30, 2012 vs Jewell
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs Poulin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aubin-Mercier 8.2
fighter Jewell 7.3
Fast finishes by Aubin-Mercier
98 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Meisel
113 seconds Nov 30, 2012 vs Jewell
58 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs Poulin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5361,599
1,4951,640
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aubin-Mercier
legend Jewell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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