UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jotko vs Leites

1,914

CageRank

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Leites
WILL WIN

2,122

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Krzysztof Jotko
Significantly younger 27 years vs 35 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jotko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 9:17, how much damage will he do? Leites Jotko
Significant Strikes27
Leites's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Jotko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:17
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Jotko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:17
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Leites is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jotko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Krzysztof
Jotko
In 9:17, how much damage will he do? Jotko Leites
Significant Strikes24
Jotko's average striking offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:17
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jotko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jotko is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jotko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jotko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Leites 7.9
fighter Jotko 8.2
Great striking by Jotko
17 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Santos

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Leites 9.1
fighter Jotko 8.5
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Jotko 7.1
Great knockouts by Jotko
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Slepowronski
Round 1 Feb 26, 2011 vs Ilyasov
Round 2 Feb 26, 2011 vs Truszewski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Jotko 6.8
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Jotko 7.3
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2016UFC Fight Night 100
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Jotko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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