UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Croes vs Wadsworth

1,378

CageRank

WINNER
Wadsworth

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Wadsworth
WILL WIN

1,684

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Wadsworth
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Johan Croes
Heavier 145 lbs vs 144 lbs Almost the same
Wadsworth on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Croes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Wadsworth
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wadsworth has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Wadsworth has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Wadsworth has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Croes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wadsworth’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johan
Croes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Croes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Croes is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Croes is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Wadsworth 7.6
fighter Croes 6.9
Great knockouts by Wadsworth
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Harrison
Round 1 Feb 28, 2008 vs Duguay
Round 1 Sep 07, 2007 vs Savard

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Wadsworth 7.4
fighter Croes 6.4
Great submissions by Wadsworth
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs Sutherland
Round 1 Feb 27, 2009 vs Croes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Wadsworth 8.0
fighter Croes 6.7
Fast finishes by Wadsworth
219 seconds Apr 10, 2010 vs Sutherland
213 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Harrison
148 seconds Sep 07, 2007 vs Savard
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 27, 2009XMMA 7
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,4761,644
1,4481,671
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Wadsworth
legend Croes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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