UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Buchanan vs Carl

1,457

CageRank

WINNER
Carl

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
97% chance Carl
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Steve Carl
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.3 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.0 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 7.3 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Henry Buchanan
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Carl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Buchanan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Carl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carl is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Carl has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Carl has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Buchanan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Henry
Buchanan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Buchanan is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Buchanan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Buchanan is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carl 9.5
fighter Buchanan 7.3
Great submissions by Carl
Round 4 Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
Round 1 Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carl 9.2
fighter Buchanan 7.3
Fast finishes by Carl
962 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
55 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
150 seconds Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 SUB
1,5001,550
1,4571,593
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carl
legend Buchanan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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