UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aguilar vs Vera

1,660

CageRank

WINNER
Vera

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Vera
WILL WIN

1,699

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Marlon Vera
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.1 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 25 years vs 38 years Around 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
A lot taller 173 cm vs 155 cm More than 10% taller
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Gilberto Aguilar
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Vera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aguilar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marlon
Vera
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vera is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Vera has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Vera is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Aguilar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilberto
Aguilar
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aguilar has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aguilar is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Aguilar is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Vera 7.1
fighter Aguilar 8.0
Great knockouts by Aguilar
Round 4 Mar 23, 2013 vs Roberto Herrera
Round 2 Dec 04, 2010 vs Linares
Round 2 Oct 15, 2009 vs Cruz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Vera 8.1
fighter Aguilar 6.1
Great submissions by Vera
Round 1 Oct 23, 2013 vs Owens
Round 2 Jan 18, 2013 vs Umana Munoz
Round 1 Feb 20, 2012 vs Guzman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Vera 8.1
fighter Aguilar 7.8
Fast finishes by Vera
114 seconds Oct 23, 2013 vs Owens
244 seconds Apr 24, 2013 vs Iglesias
584 seconds Jan 18, 2013 vs Umana Munoz
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Vera
legend Aguilar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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