UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moreno vs Ortiz

1,707

CageRank

WINNER
Ortiz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Ortiz
WILL WIN

1,940

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Brandon Moreno
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.4 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 170 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 23 years vs 28 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moreno’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Moreno on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brandon
Moreno
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moreno is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moreno is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moreno is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ortiz 7.6
fighter Moreno 6.8
Great knockouts by Ortiz
Round 3 Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome
Round 3 Dec 02, 2011 vs Rave
Round 3 Oct 09, 2010 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ortiz 6.6
fighter Moreno 8.0
Great submissions by Moreno
Round 2 Jul 26, 2013 vs Amaro
Round 1 May 19, 2012 vs Carter
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Jihad

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ortiz 6.9
fighter Moreno 7.4
Fast finishes by Moreno
481 seconds Jul 26, 2013 vs Amaro
712 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Carbajal
75 seconds May 19, 2012 vs Carter
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ortiz
legend Moreno
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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