UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moreno vs Smolka

1,707

CageRank

WINNER
Smolka

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Smolka
WILL WIN

1,821

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Louis Smolka
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Brandon Moreno
Slightly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Slightly younger 23 years vs 25 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Smolka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moreno’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Louis
Smolka
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smolka is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Smolka has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smolka is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Moreno on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smolka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brandon
Moreno
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moreno is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moreno has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Moreno is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smolka 7.3
fighter Moreno 6.8
Great knockouts by Smolka
Round 2 Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
Round 2 Apr 28, 2012 vs Pacarro
Round 2 May 15, 2010 vs Henamendez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Moreno 8.0
Great submissions by Moreno
Round 2 Jul 26, 2013 vs Amaro
Round 1 May 19, 2012 vs Carter
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Jihad

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Moreno 7.4
Fast finishes by Smolka
412 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
119 seconds Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
839 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 1, 2016UFC Fight Night 96
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smolka
legend Moreno
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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