UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Whittaker

1,629

CageRank

WINNER
Whittaker

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
75% chance Whittaker
WILL WIN

1,824

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robert Whittaker
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer winning streak 8 fights vs 5 fights 60% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 187 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 26 years vs 29 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Colton Smith
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Whittaker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robert
Whittaker
In 10:22, how much damage will he do? Whittaker Smith
Significant Strikes48
Whittaker's good striking offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:22
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Whittaker's average takedown offense is matched by Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Whittaker has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Whittaker is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Whittaker is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Whittaker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Colton
Smith
In 10:22, how much damage will he do? Smith Whittaker
Significant Strikes48
Smith's average striking offense may be a factor against Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:22
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Smith's good takedown offense may be a factor against Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:22
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Whittaker 8.7
fighter Smith 8.1
Great striking by Whittaker
53 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Smith
83 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Scott

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Whittaker 8.0
fighter Smith 8.8
Great takedowns by Smith
7 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Ricci

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Whittaker 7.8
fighter Smith 6.7
Great knockouts by Whittaker
Round 3 May 25, 2013 vs Smith
Round 1 Mar 23, 2012 vs Spooner
Round 2 Dec 09, 2011 vs Bone

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Whittaker 7.3
fighter Smith 7.2
Great submissions by Whittaker
Round 2 Aug 26, 2011 vs Nelson
Round 2 Jun 03, 2011 vs Alloway
Round 2 Nov 20, 2009 vs Walsh

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Whittaker 7.6
fighter Smith 7.5
Fast finishes by Whittaker
641 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Smith
241 seconds Mar 23, 2012 vs Spooner
580 seconds Aug 26, 2011 vs Nelson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 25, 2013UFC 160
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR1 KO
1,7001,824
1,6671,857
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Whittaker
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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