UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kuntz vs Alvey

1,914

CageRank

WINNER
Alvey

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
60% chance Alvey
WILL WIN

1,987

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Alvey
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Leo Kuntz
Much longer winning streak 11 fights vs 4 fights 2.8x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.2 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Alvey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kuntz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Alvey
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvey has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alvey is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvey is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kuntz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Leo
Kuntz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kuntz is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kuntz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kuntz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvey 9.1
fighter Kuntz 7.7
Great knockouts by Alvey
Round 5 Oct 04, 2013 vs South
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs O'Malley
Round 4 Aug 01, 2009 vs Honneger

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvey 6.2
fighter Kuntz 7.4
Great submissions by Kuntz
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Worthington
Round 3 Jul 22, 2011 vs Shepherd
Round 3 Oct 23, 2010 vs Urban

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvey 7.9
fighter Kuntz 7.4
Fast finishes by Alvey
1496 seconds Oct 04, 2013 vs South
169 seconds Jun 18, 2010 vs O'Malley
1200 seconds Aug 01, 2009 vs Honneger
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvey
legend Kuntz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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