UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smallwood vs Gastelum

1,509

CageRank

WINNER
Gastelum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Gastelum
WILL WIN

1,949

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kelvin Gastelum
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.1 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.0 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 25 years vs 35 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Bill Smallwood
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Gastelum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smallwood’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kelvin
Gastelum
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gastelum has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gastelum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gastelum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Smallwood on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gastelum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bill
Smallwood
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smallwood is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smallwood is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smallwood is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gastelum 7.6
fighter Smallwood 7.1
Great knockouts by Gastelum
Round 1 Jul 20, 2012 vs Ashford
Round 2 Oct 22, 2011 vs Gentile
Round 3 Jul 16, 2011 vs Moguel

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gastelum 7.5
fighter Smallwood 6.5
Great submissions by Gastelum
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Smallwood
Round 2 Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gastelum 7.9
fighter Smallwood 6.6
Fast finishes by Gastelum
146 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
746 seconds Jul 16, 2011 vs Moguel
398 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,4431,641
1,4191,665
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gastelum
legend Smallwood
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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