UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mina vs Lua

1,848

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mina

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Mina
WILL WIN

1,536

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alberto Mina
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Edgelson Lua
From what we can tell, Alberto Mina dominates Edgelson Lua in every way.
Mina on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alberto
Mina
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mina has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Mina has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Mina is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Lua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mina’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edgelson
Lua
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lua is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lua is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lua is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mina 7.9
fighter Lua 6.8
Great knockouts by Mina
Round 1 Dec 21, 2013 vs Sparv
Round 3 Feb 06, 2010 vs Amasinger
Round 1 Oct 05, 2005 vs Ribeiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mina 8.1
fighter Lua 7.0
Great submissions by Mina
Round 1 Aug 07, 2011 vs Eggels
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Lua
Round 1 May 31, 2005 vs Fibiru

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mina 8.5
fighter Lua 7.2
Fast finishes by Mina
164 seconds Dec 21, 2013 vs Sparv
191 seconds Aug 07, 2011 vs Eggels
737 seconds Feb 06, 2010 vs Amasinger
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 24, 2009UCMMA 8
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,7061,558
1,7361,528
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mina
legend Lua
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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