UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Luque vs Moura

1,728

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Luque

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
56% chance Luque
WILL WIN

1,686

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vicente Luque
Much heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 26 years vs 33 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Yuri Moura
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Luque on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vicente
Luque
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Luque is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Luque has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Luque is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Moura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Luque’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yuri
Moura
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moura is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moura has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Moura has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Luque 7.3
fighter Moura 7.0
Great knockouts by Luque
Round 1 May 10, 2013 vs Lisboa
Round 1 Apr 28, 2012 vs Santos
Round 1 Jun 27, 2009 vs Playboy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Luque 7.3
fighter Moura 8.1
Great submissions by Moura
Round 1 May 10, 2013 vs Nacfur
Round 1 Sep 15, 2012 vs Dias
Round 1 Jul 22, 2012 vs Castro

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Luque 7.9
fighter Moura 8.3
Fast finishes by Moura
264 seconds Sep 15, 2012 vs Dias
238 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Silva
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,5761,698
1,6431,631
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Luque
legend Moura
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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