UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stevens vs Aoki

1,771

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
94% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 7.7 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 153 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Cody Stevens
Heavier hands 6.5 vs 6.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stevens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stevens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cody
Stevens
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stevens is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stevens is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stevens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Stevens 6.5
Great knockouts by Stevens
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs McGhee
Round 3 Sep 04, 2010 vs Harris

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Stevens 7.7
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Stevens 7.5
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 SUB
1,8002,244
1,7932,251
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Stevens
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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