UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lux vs Moraga

1,676

CageRank

WINNER
Moraga

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Moraga
WILL WIN

1,891

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for John Moraga
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Freddie Lux
From what we can tell, John Moraga dominates Freddie Lux in every way.
Moraga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Moraga
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraga is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Moraga has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Moraga is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Freddie
Lux
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lux is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lux is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lux is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Moraga 6.8
fighter Lux 6.6
Great knockouts by Moraga
Round 1 Aug 04, 2012 vs Gomez
Round 1 Dec 04, 2009 vs Decastro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Moraga 7.6
fighter Lux 7.4
Great submissions by Moraga
Round 3 Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Lux
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Halverson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Moraga 7.5
fighter Lux 7.4
Fast finishes by Moraga
671 seconds Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso
226 seconds Aug 04, 2012 vs Gomez
49 seconds Nov 05, 2011 vs Lux
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
DECX
1,7591,701
1,7001,759
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Moraga
legend Lux
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus