UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortega vs Carneiro

1,876

CageRank

WINNER
Carneiro

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
58% chance Carneiro
WILL WIN

1,930

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renato Carneiro
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Brian Ortega
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Slightly younger 27 years vs 29 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Carneiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortega’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renato
Carneiro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carneiro is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Carneiro has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Carneiro has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ortega on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carneiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Ortega
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortega is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ortega has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ortega has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carneiro 8.3
fighter Ortega 8.3
Great submissions by Carneiro
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Chaulet
Round 2 Dec 18, 2010 vs Felipe
Round 3 Mar 20, 2010 vs Almeida

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carneiro 7.7
fighter Ortega 7.9
Fast finishes by Ortega
749 seconds Aug 16, 2013 vs Rinaldi
242 seconds May 04, 2013 vs Guimond
108 seconds Apr 25, 2010 vs Sassone
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 29, 2017UFC 214
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carneiro
legend Ortega
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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