UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortega vs Holloway

1,876

CageRank

WINNER
Holloway

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Holloway
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Max Holloway
Much longer winning streak 12 fights vs 5 fights Around 2.5x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Brian Ortega
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortega’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Holloway has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ortega on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Ortega
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortega is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ortega has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ortega has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holloway 7.9
fighter Ortega 6.7
Great knockouts by Holloway
Round 2 Jan 04, 2014 vs Chope
Round 2 Aug 11, 2012 vs Lawrence
Round 1 Nov 06, 2010 vs Kamaka

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holloway 6.8
fighter Ortega 8.3
Great submissions by Ortega
Round 3 Aug 16, 2013 vs Rinaldi
Round 1 May 04, 2013 vs Guimond
Round 1 Apr 25, 2010 vs Sassone

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holloway 7.3
fighter Ortega 7.9
Fast finishes by Ortega
749 seconds Aug 16, 2013 vs Rinaldi
242 seconds May 04, 2013 vs Guimond
108 seconds Apr 25, 2010 vs Sassone
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holloway
legend Ortega
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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Max
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