UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortega vs Rinaldi

1,876

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ortega

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Ortega
WILL WIN

1,661

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brian Ortega
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 27 years vs 31 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Jordan Rinaldi
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Ortega on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rinaldi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Ortega
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortega is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ortega has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ortega has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rinaldi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortega’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Rinaldi
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rinaldi is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rinaldi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rinaldi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ortega 6.7
fighter Rinaldi 6.5
Great knockouts by Ortega
Round 1 Mar 03, 2018 vs Edgar
Round 3 Jun 04, 2016 vs Guida
Round 3 Jun 06, 2015 vs Tavares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ortega 8.3
fighter Rinaldi 7.8
Great submissions by Ortega
Round 3 Aug 16, 2013 vs Rinaldi
Round 1 May 04, 2013 vs Guimond
Round 1 Apr 25, 2010 vs Sassone

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ortega 7.9
fighter Rinaldi 7.5
Fast finishes by Ortega
749 seconds Aug 16, 2013 vs Rinaldi
242 seconds May 04, 2013 vs Guimond
108 seconds Apr 25, 2010 vs Sassone
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 16, 2013RFA 9
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,7411,765
1,7941,711
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ortega
legend Rinaldi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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