UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maria Tome vs da Silva

1,834

CageRank

WINNER
da Silva

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance da Silva
WILL WIN

1,958

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jussier da Silva
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jose Maria Tome
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
da Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maria Tome’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jussier
da Silva
In 12:29, how much damage will he do? da Silva Maria Tome
Significant Strikes50
da Silva's average striking offense is matched by Maria Tome's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:29
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
da Silva's average takedown offense may be a factor against Maria Tome's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
da Silva is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
da Silva has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
da Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maria Tome on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against da Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Maria Tome
In 12:29, how much damage will he do? Maria Tome da Silva
Significant Strikes58
Maria Tome's average striking offense is matched by da Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:29
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maria Tome's average takedown offense is matched by da Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maria Tome is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Maria Tome is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maria Tome is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter da Silva 6.3
fighter Maria Tome 7.0
Great knockouts by Maria Tome
Round 2 Oct 20, 2012 vs Leonardo
Round 2 Nov 08, 2009 vs Alves
Round 1 Jul 27, 2007 vs Marcos Lima Santiago Jr.

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter da Silva 8.5
fighter Maria Tome 8.0
Great submissions by da Silva
Round 1 Dec 15, 2011 vs Favacho dos Santos
Round 1 Aug 30, 2008 vs Alves
Round 1 Mar 09, 2008 vs Maria Tome

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter da Silva 8.0
fighter Maria Tome 8.0
Fast finishes by Maria Tome
380 seconds Oct 20, 2012 vs Leonardo
215 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Esquilo
461 seconds Nov 08, 2009 vs Alves
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R2 KOX
1,7751,630
1,7051,700
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend da Silva
legend Maria Tome
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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