UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pegado Neto vs Matias da Conceicao

1,571

CageRank

WINNER
Matias da Conceicao

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
72% chance Matias da Conceicao
WILL WIN

1,735

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rogerio Matias da Conceicao
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much younger 32 years vs 52 years Around 40% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Jose Pegado Neto
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Matias da Conceicao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pegado Neto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rogerio
Matias da Conceicao
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matias da Conceicao has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Matias da Conceicao is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Matias da Conceicao is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pegado Neto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matias da Conceicao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Pegado Neto
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pegado Neto is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pegado Neto has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Pegado Neto is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Matias da Conceicao 8.6
fighter Pegado Neto 7.2
Great knockouts by Matias da Conceicao
Round 1 Nov 23, 2013 vs Alexandre
Round 1 Jan 16, 2013 vs Santos
Round 1 Dec 18, 2012 vs Regis

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Matias da Conceicao 6.8
fighter Pegado Neto 7.4
Great submissions by Pegado Neto
Round 1 Mar 09, 2008 vs Matias da Conceicao
Round 1 Mar 09, 2008 vs Matias

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Matias da Conceicao 8.7
fighter Pegado Neto 7.6
Fast finishes by Matias da Conceicao
39 seconds Nov 23, 2013 vs Alexandre
85 seconds Jan 16, 2013 vs Santos
27 seconds Dec 18, 2012 vs Regis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5431,500
1,5871,456
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Matias da Conceicao
legend Pegado Neto
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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