UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Magny vs Means

1,887

CageRank

WINNER
Means

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Means
WILL WIN

1,953

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Means
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.1 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Neil Magny
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 191 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Means on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magny’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Means
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Means Magny
Significant Strikes51
Means's good striking offense may be a factor against Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Means's below average takedown offense is matched by Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Means has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Means is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Means is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Magny on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Means’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Neil
Magny
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Magny Means
Significant Strikes41
Magny's average striking offense is matched by Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Magny's average takedown offense is matched by Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magny is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Magny is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Magny has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Magny 8.4
Great striking by Means
26 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
83 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Magalhaes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Means 7.9
fighter Magny 8.5
Great takedowns by Magny
4 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Manley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Magny 7.4
Great knockouts by Means
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
Round 2 Oct 07, 2010 vs Green

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Means 6.4
fighter Magny 6.9
Great submissions by Magny
Round 3 Feb 14, 2015 vs Kunimoto
Round 2 May 14, 2011 vs Stitt
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Norwood

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Means 8.6
fighter Magny 7.1
Fast finishes by Means
144 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
66 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
600 seconds Oct 07, 2010 vs Green
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 10, 2014UFC Fight Night 40
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Means
legend Magny
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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