UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Magny vs Moraes

1,887

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Magny

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Magny
WILL WIN

1,791

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Neil Magny
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 183 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better submission defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Sergio Moraes
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 6.9 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Magny on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Neil
Magny
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Magny Moraes
Significant Strikes63
Magny's average striking offense is matched by Moraes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Magny's average takedown offense is matched by Moraes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magny is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Magny is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Magny has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magny’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Moraes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Moraes Magny
Significant Strikes61
Moraes's average striking offense is matched by Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Moraes's average takedown offense may be a factor against Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraes has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Moraes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Magny 8.4
fighter Moraes 8.3
Great striking by Magny
65 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Manley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Magny 8.5
fighter Moraes 8.6
Great takedowns by Moraes
1 takedown Aug 03, 2013 vs Magny
4 takedowns Oct 13, 2012 vs Forte

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Magny 7.4
fighter Moraes 6.5
Great knockouts by Magny
Round 2 Jun 28, 2014 vs Goiana de Lima
Round 3 Nov 19, 2010 vs Terry
Round 2 Nov 06, 2010 vs Dunning

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Magny 6.9
fighter Moraes 8.8
Great submissions by Moraes
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Magny
Round 3 Oct 13, 2012 vs Forte
Round 1 Sep 29, 2007 vs Santos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Magny 7.1
fighter Moraes 8.1
Fast finishes by Moraes
193 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Magny
103 seconds Mar 20, 2010 vs Morales
127 seconds Sep 29, 2007 vs Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 3, 2013UFC 163
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
DECX
1,8071,730
1,7461,791
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Magny
legend Moraes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus