UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Castellanos vs Reneau

1,502

CageRank

WINNER
Reneau

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
67% chance Reneau
WILL WIN

1,623

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Marion Reneau
Much heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Chantalle Castellanos
Significantly younger 29 years vs 40 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Reneau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Castellanos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marion
Reneau
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reneau has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Reneau has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Reneau is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Castellanos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reneau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chantalle
Castellanos
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Castellanos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Castellanos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Castellanos is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Reneau 7.9
fighter Castellanos 7.5
Great knockouts by Reneau
Round 1 Nov 14, 2013 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Oct 26, 2012 vs Reyes
Round 3 Mar 07, 2010 vs Castellanos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Reneau 7.1
fighter Castellanos 6.7
Great submissions by Reneau
Round 1 Feb 22, 2015 vs Andrade
Round 1 Jul 25, 2014 vs Riordon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Reneau 7.9
fighter Castellanos 7.1
Fast finishes by Reneau
84 seconds Nov 14, 2013 vs Rodriguez
10 seconds Oct 26, 2012 vs Reyes
698 seconds Mar 07, 2010 vs Castellanos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 7, 2010TWC 7
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XDEC
1,4931,500
1,4441,549
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Reneau
legend Castellanos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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