UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dariush vs Dunham

1,771

CageRank

WINNER
Dunham

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Dunham
WILL WIN

1,886

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Beneil Dariush
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dariush’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 10:08, how much damage will he do? Dunham Dariush
Significant Strikes64
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Dariush's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:08
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dunham's average takedown offense is matched by Dariush's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:08
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Dunham has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dariush on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Beneil
Dariush
In 10:08, how much damage will he do? Dariush Dunham
Significant Strikes53
Dariush's average striking offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:08
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dariush's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:08
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dariush is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Dariush has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dariush is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dunham 9.1
fighter Dariush 8.5
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dunham 8.6
fighter Dariush 8.5
Great takedowns by Dunham
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin
3 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dunham 7.3
fighter Dariush 7.5
Great knockouts by Dariush
Round 1 Jun 04, 2016 vs Vick
Round 2 May 04, 2013 vs Meaders
Round 1 Oct 27, 2012 vs dos Santos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Dariush 8.1
Great submissions by Dariush
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brenneman
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Gray
Round 0 Oct 09, 2010 vs Bejarano

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dunham 7.7
fighter Dariush 8.5
Fast finishes by Dariush
105 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Brenneman
343 seconds May 04, 2013 vs Meaders
36 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Gray
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dunham
legend Dariush
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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