UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dariush vs Brenneman

1,771

CageRank

WINNER
Brenneman

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Brenneman
WILL WIN

1,827

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Charlie Brenneman
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Beneil Dariush
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 28 years vs 36 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Brenneman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dariush’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charlie
Brenneman
In 10:53, how much damage will he do? Brenneman Dariush
Significant Strikes37
Brenneman's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Dariush's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:53
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brenneman's average takedown offense is matched by Dariush's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brenneman is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Brenneman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Brenneman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dariush on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brenneman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Beneil
Dariush
In 10:53, how much damage will he do? Dariush Brenneman
Significant Strikes52
Dariush's average striking offense is matched by Brenneman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:53
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Dariush's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brenneman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dariush is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Dariush has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dariush is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brenneman 7.8
fighter Dariush 8.5
Great striking by Dariush
9 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Brenneman

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brenneman 6.7
fighter Dariush 7.5
Great knockouts by Dariush
Round 1 Jun 04, 2016 vs Vick
Round 2 May 04, 2013 vs Meaders
Round 1 Oct 27, 2012 vs dos Santos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brenneman 7.7
fighter Dariush 8.1
Great submissions by Dariush
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brenneman
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Gray
Round 0 Oct 09, 2010 vs Bejarano

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brenneman 7.5
fighter Dariush 8.5
Fast finishes by Dariush
105 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Brenneman
343 seconds May 04, 2013 vs Meaders
36 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Gray
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,7511,937
1,8261,863
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brenneman
legend Dariush
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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