UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Prazeres vs Leal

2,009

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Prazeres

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance Prazeres
WILL WIN

1,712

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michel Prazeres
Significantly fast finishes 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 6.2 vs 6.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Sergio Leal
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Prazeres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michel
Prazeres
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Prazeres is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Prazeres is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Prazeres has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Leal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Prazeres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Leal
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leal is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leal is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leal is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Prazeres 6.2
fighter Leal 6.0
Great knockouts by Prazeres
Round 1 Apr 14, 2004 vs Monteiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Prazeres 7.5
fighter Leal 7.2
Great submissions by Prazeres
Round 1 Mar 31, 2012 vs Leal
Round 2 Sep 12, 2003 vs Santana
Round 1 Mar 21, 2003 vs de Souza Gama

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Prazeres 7.5
fighter Leal 6.9
Fast finishes by Prazeres
109 seconds Mar 31, 2012 vs Leal
442 seconds Sep 12, 2003 vs Santana
227 seconds Mar 21, 2003 vs de Souza Gama
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 31, 2012JF - Jungle Fight 37
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
1,8781,674
1,9021,651
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Prazeres
legend Leal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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