UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Steadman vs Rosa

1,462

CageRank

WINNER
Rosa

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
85% chance Rosa
WILL WIN

1,768

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Charles Rosa
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly younger 31 years vs 43 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 6.9 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 7.9 vs 6.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Aaron Steadman
Much heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Rosa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Steadman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Rosa
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rosa has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rosa has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rosa is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Steadman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rosa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aaron
Steadman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Steadman is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Steadman is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Steadman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rosa 7.5
fighter Steadman 6.8
Great knockouts by Rosa
Round 2 Feb 08, 2014 vs Richardson
Round 1 Aug 09, 2013 vs Murataj
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Jones

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rosa 7.8
fighter Steadman 7.0
Great submissions by Rosa
Round 1 May 24, 2013 vs Steadman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Cobb
Round 1 Sep 18, 2010 vs Holman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rosa 8.3
fighter Steadman 7.0
Fast finishes by Rosa
206 seconds May 24, 2013 vs Steadman
232 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Jones
51 seconds Sep 18, 2010 vs Holman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 24, 2013CFA 11
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,4961,609
1,4621,643
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rosa
legend Steadman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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