UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Knight vs Hayes

1,689

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Knight

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
50% chance Knight
WILL WIN

1,688

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jason Knight
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Shawn Hayes
Slightly heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.8 Almost the same
Knight on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hayes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Knight
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Knight is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Knight has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Knight is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hayes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Knight’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shawn
Hayes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hayes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hayes has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Hayes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Knight 6.8
fighter Hayes 6.9
Great knockouts by Hayes
Round 1 Jun 19, 2010 vs James
Round 2 Feb 21, 2009 vs Huffman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Knight 8.0
fighter Hayes 7.8
Great submissions by Knight
Round 3 Feb 11, 2012 vs Hayes
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Rutherford
Round 1 Nov 07, 2009 vs Hayes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Knight 7.9
fighter Hayes 7.3
Fast finishes by Knight
873 seconds Feb 11, 2012 vs Hayes
211 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Rutherford
110 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Hayes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,7021,777
1,7621,717
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,6801,561
1,7141,528
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Knight
legend Hayes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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