UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Santos

1,856

CageRank

WINNER
Santos

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Santos
WILL WIN

1,921

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Leonardo Santos
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer winning streak 5 fights vs 4 fights 25% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Much younger 24 years vs 37 years More than 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Leonardo
Santos
In 10:04, how much damage will he do? Santos Lee
Significant Strikes44
Santos's average striking offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Santos's average takedown offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santos is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santos has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
In 10:04, how much damage will he do? Lee Santos
Significant Strikes46
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Santos 8.5
fighter Lee 8.5
Great takedowns by Santos
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Macario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Santos 6.6
fighter Lee 6.6
Great knockouts by Lee
Round 1 Jul 08, 2016 vs Matthews

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Santos 8.6
fighter Lee 8.1
Great submissions by Santos
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Macario
Round 1 Sep 01, 2012 vs Holst
Round 1 Mar 07, 2010 vs Kunioku

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Santos 8.5
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Santos
583 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Macario
75 seconds Sep 01, 2012 vs Holst
186 seconds Mar 07, 2010 vs Kunioku
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2015UFC 194
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Santos
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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