UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Gervais

1,856

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lee

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Lee
WILL WIN

1,598

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 25 years vs 31 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Travis Gervais
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gervais’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gervais on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Travis
Gervais
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gervais is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gervais is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gervais is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lee 6.6
fighter Gervais 8.0
Great knockouts by Gervais
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Wright
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Macleod
Round 2 Jun 04, 2010 vs Bloomer

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lee 8.1
fighter Gervais 6.7
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
Round 3 Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Prepolec

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lee 7.9
fighter Gervais 7.7
Fast finishes by Lee
84 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Moon
46 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
689 seconds Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,8101,623
1,8351,598
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lee
legend Gervais
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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