UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Barnaoui

1,856

CageRank

WINNER
Barnaoui

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Barnaoui
WILL WIN

1,886

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mansour Barnaoui
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Barnaoui on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mansour
Barnaoui
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barnaoui is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barnaoui has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Barnaoui is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barnaoui’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barnaoui 7.5
fighter Lee 6.6
Great knockouts by Barnaoui
Round 1 Sep 14, 2013 vs Warburton
Round 1 Mar 09, 2013 vs Musardo
Round 2 May 28, 2011 vs Boussuge

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barnaoui 8.5
fighter Lee 8.1
Great submissions by Barnaoui
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Fletcher
Round 3 Mar 16, 2012 vs Wheeler
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Margarian

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barnaoui 8.1
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Barnaoui
240 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs Fletcher
248 seconds Sep 14, 2013 vs Warburton
123 seconds Mar 09, 2013 vs Musardo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,6061,808
1,6821,732
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barnaoui
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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