UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Prazeres

1,856

CageRank

WINNER
Prazeres

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Prazeres
WILL WIN

2,009

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michel Prazeres
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Significantly younger 24 years vs 34 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 6.6 vs 6.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Prazeres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michel
Prazeres
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Prazeres Lee
Significant Strikes62
Prazeres's average striking offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Prazeres's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Prazeres is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Prazeres is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Prazeres has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Prazeres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lee Prazeres
Significant Strikes71
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Prazeres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Prazeres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Prazeres 8.9
fighter Lee 8.5
Great takedowns by Prazeres
7 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Ronson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Prazeres 6.2
fighter Lee 6.6
Great knockouts by Lee
Round 1 Jul 08, 2016 vs Matthews

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Prazeres 7.5
fighter Lee 8.1
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
Round 3 Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Prepolec

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Prazeres 7.5
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Lee
84 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Moon
46 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
689 seconds Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 14, 2015UFC Fight Night 60
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Prazeres
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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