UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Martin vs Smolka

1,448

CageRank

WINNER
Smolka

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Smolka
WILL WIN

1,821

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Louis Smolka
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.1 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Kawika Martin
Heavier 150 lbs vs 125 lbs 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Smolka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Martin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Louis
Smolka
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smolka has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smolka has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smolka is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Martin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smolka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kawika
Martin
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Martin is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Martin is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Martin is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smolka 7.3
fighter Martin 6.9
Great knockouts by Smolka
Round 2 Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
Round 2 Apr 28, 2012 vs Pacarro
Round 2 May 15, 2010 vs Henamendez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Martin 7.1
Great submissions by Smolka
Round 1 Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
Round 3 Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Round 2 Oct 20, 2012 vs Martin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Martin 7.1
Fast finishes by Smolka
412 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
119 seconds Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
839 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 20, 2012KOTC - Mana
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5291,588
1,4881,630
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smolka
legend Martin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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