UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hester vs Rogerio de Lima

1,943

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hester

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Hester
WILL WIN

1,864

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Clint Hester
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.7 Almost the same
Hester on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio de Lima’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clint
Hester
In 12:55, how much damage will he do? Hester Rogerio de Lima
Significant Strikes67
Hester's average striking offense is matched by Rogerio de Lima's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:55
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hester's average takedown offense is matched by Rogerio de Lima's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hester has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Hester is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hester has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rogerio de Lima on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hester’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcos
Rogerio de Lima
In 12:55, how much damage will he do? Rogerio de Lima Hester
Significant Strikes59
Rogerio de Lima's average striking offense is matched by Hester's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:55
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Rogerio de Lima's average takedown offense is matched by Hester's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio de Lima has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio de Lima is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio de Lima is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hester 8.6
fighter Rogerio de Lima 8.5
Great striking by Hester
72 strikes Feb 01, 2014 vs Enz
27 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Andrews
66 strikes Apr 13, 2013 vs Marunde

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hester 8.5
fighter Rogerio de Lima 8.6
Great knockouts by Rogerio de Lima
Round 1 Nov 10, 2012 vs Luiz da Silva
Round 2 Jun 30, 2010 vs Nascimento Lucio
Round 1 Mar 14, 2009 vs Gumz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hester 6.7
fighter Rogerio de Lima 6.8
Great submissions by Rogerio de Lima
Round 1 Apr 23, 2016 vs Hester
Round 1 Jun 29, 2012 vs Adams
Round 2 May 15, 2010 vs Martins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hester 7.7
fighter Rogerio de Lima 8.5
Fast finishes by Rogerio de Lima
260 seconds Nov 10, 2012 vs Luiz da Silva
300 seconds Jun 30, 2010 vs Nascimento Lucio
348 seconds May 15, 2010 vs Martins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 23, 2016UFC 197
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hester
legend Rogerio de Lima
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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