UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Covington vs Maia

1,680

CageRank

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance Maia
WILL WIN

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.8 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Colby Covington
Significantly younger 30 years vs 40 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Covington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Covington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Colby
Covington
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Covington is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Covington is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Covington has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Covington 6.7
Great knockouts by Maia
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 May 19, 2007 vs Stout
Round 1 Sep 21, 2001 vs Sosa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Covington 7.8
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Covington 7.5
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 28, 2017UFC Fight Night 119
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Covington
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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