UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Covington vs Caceres

1,680

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Covington

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Covington
WILL WIN

1,671

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Colby Covington
Significantly heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Jose Caceres
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Covington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Caceres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Colby
Covington
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Covington is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Covington has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Covington has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Caceres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Covington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Caceres
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caceres is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Caceres has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Caceres is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Covington 6.7
fighter Caceres 6.2
Great knockouts by Covington
Round 3 Aug 20, 2016 vs Griffin
Round 1 Aug 23, 2014 vs Wang

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Covington 7.8
fighter Caceres 8.0
Great submissions by Caceres
Round 1 Dec 12, 2013 vs Vargas
Round 1 May 24, 2013 vs Usman
Round 3 May 07, 2011 vs Ribeiro

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Covington 7.5
fighter Caceres 7.2
Fast finishes by Covington
402 seconds Apr 27, 2012 vs Hayes
81 seconds Feb 11, 2012 vs Ensley
108 seconds Aug 26, 2006 vs Rocha
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 12, 2013CFA 12
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 SUBX
1,6281,604
1,6741,558
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Covington
legend Caceres
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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