UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Covington vs Rocha

1,680

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Covington

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Covington
WILL WIN

1,490

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Colby Covington
Significantly better submission defense 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Marcos Rocha
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Covington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rocha’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Colby
Covington
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Covington is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Covington has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Covington has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Rocha on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Covington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcos
Rocha
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rocha has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rocha has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rocha has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Covington 7.8
fighter Rocha 7.4
Great submissions by Covington
Round 2 Apr 27, 2012 vs Hayes
Round 1 Feb 11, 2012 vs Ensley
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Rocha

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Covington 7.5
fighter Rocha 7.4
Fast finishes by Covington
402 seconds Apr 27, 2012 vs Hayes
81 seconds Feb 11, 2012 vs Ensley
108 seconds Aug 26, 2006 vs Rocha
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,5501,450
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Covington
legend Rocha
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus