UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Covington vs Alves

1,680

CageRank

WINNER
Alves

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
72% chance Alves
WILL WIN

1,843

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Warlley Alves
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 26 years vs 29 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Colby Covington
From what we can tell, Warlley Alves dominates Colby Covington in every way.
Alves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Covington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Warlley
Alves
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alves has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Alves has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Alves has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Covington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Colby
Covington
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Covington is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Covington has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Covington has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alves 7.0
fighter Covington 6.7
Great knockouts by Alves
Round 1 Aug 24, 2013 vs Jackson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alves 8.5
fighter Covington 7.8
Great submissions by Alves
Round 1 Jun 01, 2013 vs Moreira
Round 2 Dec 13, 2012 vs Alberto Bazan Rojas
Round 1 Sep 18, 2010 vs Bastos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alves 8.2
fighter Covington 7.5
Fast finishes by Alves
118 seconds Aug 24, 2013 vs Jackson
48 seconds Jun 01, 2013 vs Moreira
348 seconds Dec 13, 2012 vs Alberto Bazan Rojas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2015UFC 194
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alves
legend Covington
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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